On this day, 24 May in 2006, Al Gore – former US Vice-President under the eight-year US Administration of Bill Clinton – released his infamously alarmist global warming “schlockumentary” called, “An Inconvenient Truth”.
This shameless film of junk science propelled Democrat Al Gore back into prominence after being “out-chadded” in Florida to the Republicans' George W Bush in the 2000 US presidential election. Gore became the world’s most prominent environmental activist, spruiking crippling carbon schemes and unreliable renewables. It helped secure him great networks and wealth for an amazingly lavish mansion, myriad other assets and a lifestyle with a carbon footprint the size of a small city.
The climate hypothesis that man’s emissions are dangerously heating the world to oblivion is one whose goal-posts, “poster-childs” and predictions change so often that this “slippery pig of a hypothesis” is essentially unfalsifiable and therefore not science.
Since the film’s release, this alarmist climate hypothesis has taken countless blows and data disappointments (see below).
Mourn or commiserate about this egregious day of Gore deceit by:
- re-watching his schlockumentary comparing reality and current predictions of future climate with the film’s alarmist predictions (and better still, those predictions made by the godfather of global warming, James Hansen, before the US Congress in June 1988)
- reflecting on the impact An Inconvenient Truth had – and the zeitgeist it unleashed – on Australia (and the world) from mid-late 2006, which saw the fresher faces of Kevin Rudd (pictured with Al Gore in 2009, below) and Julia Gillard sweep Kim Beazley and Jenny Macklin from Labor’s leadership and, in turn, the Howard Government in 2007
- checking up on:
- keeping abreast of long-running climate sceptic websites (eg Watts Up With That, or that of Roy Spencer, Judith Curry and Australia’s own Jo Nova and Jennifer Marohasy) for their science, data analyses and fact-checks on the global warming "industrial complex",
- join Australian Conservatives, the only political party that will never cave in to climate alarmism,
- sharing this Action Plan post on social media with family, friends and other critical thinkers, and/or
- for the particularly motivated, take the Bureau of Meteorology and others to task in our further action points below.
More Inconvenient Truths:
Since the release of 'An Inconvenient Truth', its alarmist climate hypothesis, has suffered many blows and data disappointments, including:
- the Hockey-Stick graph – a centrepiece of Al Gore’s film – has been utterly discredited (via exposure of “Mike’s nature trick”, “hiding the decline”, selective sampling and “that critical conifer” (known as YAD061))
- the emails of Climate Gate exposed massive manipulation and collusion by once-trusted scientists, institutions and their pal/peer-review processes
- polar ice cores now clearly show concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere lag (not lead) global temperature, and by centuries
- global average temperatures have risen little, and nowhere near the rate climate models have been predicting
- sea level rise has not accelerated (continuing at 2-3mm/year, and on track to be at or less than a foot higher by 2100, not metres higher)
- global sea ice has not melted away precipitously as expected in terms of extent, area or volume
- satellite pictures show that the continents are greening, not browning, and the deserts are shrinking, not growing (in no small part due to the fertilisation and drought-resistance effects on plants of higher CO2 concentrations in our atmosphere)
- over 80% of Pacific Islands have be found to have actually grown in area or maintained their size (ie not drowning but sustaining)
- hurricane numbers, strength and accumulated energy (ACE index) have not increased but instead continued on their cyclical up-and-down path
- the global temperature record is significantly affected by decadal (up to 60-year) ocean cycles through currents and over-turning rates
- Kenya’s famous Mount Kilimanjaro has been found to be losing its snow/ice cover not due to global warming but the effects of nearby land-clearing and use, which upsets the local weather and evapo-transpiration cycle, reducing precipitation, but also increases dust that then settles on its snow/ice, browning it and reducing its albedo
- thermometer-based records have been found to be chock-full of urban heat island (UHI) effects, rural/remote station “drop-outs” and the greater “homogenisation” that then results, all of which exaggerate any warming trends
- the (now nearly 40-year) satellite records of global temperatures – unaffected by station drop-out, homogenisation, UHI and other “man-made” effects – have been continually showing significantly less warming than their thermometer-based equivalents (yet they rarely get reported)
- a wider understanding of the “station drop-out” effect – where typically remote and rural (ie zero or slow growing) centres (which typically have the lowest UHI effects and warming trends) have their weather stations de-commissioned or simply excluded from any longer contributing to the land-based temperature records of countries (eg Australia) and the globe
- a better understanding of the “homogenisation” process – where the records of the remaining weather stations (typically from larger, faster growing, centres which typically have higher UHI effects and warming trends) are then smeared across the areas once covered by the data/records of the less UHI-affected stations
- major updates of historical thermometer-based records tending to:
o have their past progressively cooled, 'enhancing' the long-term warming trend – if this continues, climate 'history' will soon show that our grandparents grew up in a little ice age, and
o have their once-very distinct cyclical pattern progressively flattened or “disappeared”, helping to:
remove the awkward rise, and then fall, in global temperatures over the six decades to the mid-1970s
have past global temperatures better track the atmosphere’s steadily rising CO2 concentration, and
justify climate models being more sensitive to CO2 and their predicted warming more driven by CO2 (even as temperature fails to behave)
- raw temperature data has been found to be regularly manipulated to the warming side, both here in Australia and abroad. For example, the BoM has been exposed several times sheering off temperature “down-spikes” but leaving in temperature “up-spikes” in the data/records from their electronic thermometers. One-second noise spikes are meant to be averaged over much longer intervals (eg one or five minutes, according to international standards and the BoM’s own testing) to give truer readings of temperature and be comparable with past mercury thermometer-based records (to ensure “apples are being compared with apples”)
- estimates of the all-important feedback effect (of water vapour and clouds to temperature rises) have been falling precipitously from the alarmingly high sensitivity originally, and still, tuned into the climate models – for warming to be exponential and alarming, this feedback must be significantly positive (ie well greater than +1) to be sufficiently reinforcing, and
- alternative hypotheses that put solar activity right back in the frame (but less directly than the long-studied, low-amplitude cycle of total solar irradiance (TSI)). For example, Danish Professor, Henrik Svensmark hypothesises that (high/low) sunspot activity correlates with (high/low) solar wind pouring out from the sun, which shields our atmosphere from cosmic rays (alpha particles from beyond our solar system) to a high/low extent which seed flat, low-lying clouds that significantly impact our atmosphere’s albedo. As such, high sunspot activity blocks more cosmic rays from penetrating our atmosphere, which seeds fewer reflective clouds, allowing greater warming of the surface. The 20th century had many of the strongest sunspot cycles on record (since the 1750s) but this seems to be coming to an end, with its cumulative effects not likely to be long lagged.
Detailed Action Points:
For those particularly motivated about this issue, here are some other Actions to take:
- comparing the 3-key thermometer-based records of global average temperatures with the 2-key satellite-based records (now spanning almost 40 years)
- assess the neighbourhoods of your local Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) weather station(s) - e.g. energy usage, traffic, concrete structures, pavers and rooftop coverage (versus that of tree, lawn and other photosynthesising vegetation) - comparing all that with what was likely around that same weather station 10, 20, 50 and 100 years ago
- checking to see if the temperature record of your local BoM weather station still feeds into the BoM’s average Australian temperature record, and if not, whether records of surrounding weather stations are homogenised to account for that station drop-out and whether your station had an inferior urban heat island effect (ie was a smaller, slower growing centre)
- demanding the BoM align its electronic thermometer recording practices with those of international standards and reliability, and/or
- demanding the BoM explain how and why long-kept records of weather stations have been adjusted by cooling their past, giving rise to a more prominent warming trend where little or none originally existed.
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